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標題 |
神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)與四階段預(yù)測法在鐵路運量預(yù)測中的組合應(yīng)用研究(25 卷) |
英文標題 |
Study on the Joint Application of Neural Network and Four-Stage Predict Method in Railway Transport Volume Prediction |
摘要 |
利用神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(luò)與四階段預(yù)測法組合構(gòu)造出新的交通量預(yù)測模型,以膠濟鐵路提速改造為例,就構(gòu)造的客運量預(yù)測模型進行了應(yīng)用研究。其中以平均增長率法計算客流量的交通分布;以重力模型法計算誘發(fā)客流;依據(jù)運輸阻力構(gòu)建的分擔率模型計算轉(zhuǎn)移客流;在計算誘發(fā)客流時考慮了時間價 |
作者 |
新聞作者:王增兵,李遠富 |
關(guān)鍵字 |