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2010年02 期
| 標(biāo)題 |
| ARIMA模型與Holt-Winters模型在鐵路旅客周轉(zhuǎn)量預(yù)測(cè)中的比較(32 卷) |
| 英文標(biāo)題 |
| Comparison of Railway Passenger Traffic Forecast Method Between ARIMA and Holt-Winters |
| 摘要 |
| 運(yùn)用ARIMA和Holt-Winters兩種典型時(shí)間序列預(yù)測(cè)模型，對(duì)我國2004—2008年鐵路旅客周轉(zhuǎn)量的月度數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行擬合，在此基礎(chǔ)上預(yù)測(cè)2009年的月度旅客周轉(zhuǎn)量，并與2009年旅客周轉(zhuǎn)量的實(shí)際值進(jìn)行比較，同時(shí)對(duì)ARIMA模型和Holt-Winters模型進(jìn)行分析比較。 |
| 作者 |
| 新聞作者:萬 潔 |
| 關(guān)鍵字 |
