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2010年06 期
| 標題 |
| 我國鐵路運量波動的季節(jié)因素分析(32 卷) |
| 英文標題 |
| Analysis on Seasonal Factors of Railway Traffic Volume Fluctuation in China |
| 摘要 |
| 鐵路運量受氣候條件、節(jié)假日、工農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)和國民經(jīng)濟發(fā)展等因素影響，呈現(xiàn)出趨勢性、季節(jié)性、隨機性的復雜波動特征。通過對我國2002—2009年鐵路客貨運量月度數(shù)據(jù)進行分析，得到我國鐵路客貨運量具有明顯的線性趨勢和季節(jié)特征的結(jié)論，選擇Holt-Winters模型進行數(shù)據(jù)擬合，具體 |
| 作者 |
| 新聞作者:桂文林，潘慶年 |
| 關(guān)鍵字 |
